>> MICHAEL BARR: Good afternoon, everybody. Reak pleasure to welcome you here to the Ford School of public Policy. I'm Michael Barr, I'm the Joan and Sandy Weill Dean of public policy here. It is A great pleasure to welcome all of You to this Policy Talk, a Weiser Diplomacy Center event with Denis McDonough, former White house chief of staff for President Barack Obama. Denis is Going to be in conversation with John Ciorciari, associate professor of the Ford School and director Of the Weiser Diplomacy Center. They're going to be discussing New frontiers, labor, Immigration and foreign policy, But feel free to ask them Questions about anything that is Of interest you. Before I say More about Denis and his Distinguished career I want to Recognize the special role of The Weiser Diplomacy Center. The Role of the center is to provide Practical training to students Interested in international Affairs. To inform research on Topics related to diplomacy, and To serve as a hub for the University of michigan's Engagement with a foreign policy Community. Since its launch just Last semester, the weiser Diplomacy center has hosted an Amazing array of visitors here. Including two former secretaries Of state, two former ambassadors To the united nations, two Former national security Advisors and a u.S. Special Representative to north korea Who is now the current deputy Secretary of state. All that in Addition to our wonderful guest Today. For making all this of Possible I want to offer my Deepest gratitude to ambassador And regent ron weiser, his wife Irene and the entire family for Their generous gift that Established the weiser diplomacy Center. [applause] Today we are deeply honored to Host Denis McDonough. Denis has Devoted his career to public Selves. Having worked not only As chief of staff for president Barack obama but also in the U.S. House of representatives, The U.S. Senate, the national Security council. Denis began His career in the leshthive Branch working as a professional Staffer on the international Relations committee in the u.S. House of representatives. Later In the u.S. Senate for majority Leader tom daschle of south Dakota then working with both Senate ken salazar of colorado And then senator barack obama of Illinois. Dennis serveds as a Senior former policy advisor on President obama's 2008 Campaigned, working during the Transition. Then after president Obama took office Denis became Deputy national security Advisor. Four years later Starting in 2013 he served as President obama's chief of staff For the whole second term of the Administration. Denis managed The white house staff as well as Cabinet secretaries, agency Leaders. He advised the President on domestic and International policy, management Issues facing the federal Government, devised and enforced Plans for accountability and Transparency in government. Anybody who knows anything about Washington knows that this is Both the worst job and the best Job in washington. It is the Best job because you have a Chance to work with someone like President obama and to have Reach across the federal Government. It's really the Most important position next to The president of the united States in terms of its reach Across the government. It is the Worst job in the country because It's an impossible job to do. So, anybody who occupies that Job gets the gray hair that Denis has earned. And I'm sure He is going to talk to you about It during his discussion. Let me Just say what president obama Said on appointing Denis as his Chief of staff. Denis is Respected by leaders across our Government. He always holds Himself accountable first and Foremost. And it's no easy task But through it all Denis does it With class and integrity and Thoughtfulness for other People's points of view. He is The consummate public servant. He plays it straight. And that's The kind of teamwork that I want In the white house. That's President obama. Since 2017 Denis has been at the markle Foundation where he's currently A senior advisor working to Create a skills based market That will allow all americans to Succeed in a digital economy. He's also an executive fellow at A school called notre dame at The keough school of global Affairs where he teaches a Global policy seminar. He is Also our first and only speaker To have been portrayed by the Actor john hamm in a movie. I Believe this achievement will Not be repeated. Or at least any Time soon. Finally, before I Turn things over to john and to Denis, let me just say a little Word on format. Those who have Been here before know how we Work. Towards the end of the Event today we're going have Time for questions and answers From all of you. Professor along With two Ford School students Will sift through the question Cards that will be handed out During the course of the event And they will pose them on Behalf of the audience to our Speakers. For those who are Watching online we usually have Quite an active online audience, Please tweet your questions Using the hashtag #policytalks. Without further ado it is my Pleasure to welcome Denis Mcdonough. [app [applause] >> JOHN CIORCIARI: thank you so Much everybody for joining us And thank you for visit fog the Ford school. I am delighted to Have this chance to speak with You. For this opening segment I'd like to focus on two as Penalties of your -- aspects of Your background. One the work You have done as deputy national Security advisor and chief of Staff to deal with complex Organizations and interagencies Processes. Another is to Confront complex, multi-faceted, Cross-border policy challenges. I'd like to start with a few Questions pertain to your Current projects on labor Markets in the new economy then Shift over to complex crisis Responses that are relevant in Today's context with Coronavirus. On the first topic, I'd like you to speak about your Work with marco and the rework America traask force. Maybe we can Start with what keeps you and Your colleagues up at night with Regard to the changing economy, What are some of the main Challenges that we need to Consider in in an era of Artificial intelligence and Online gigs and the like. >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: thank you so Much. And michael thanks for the Overly generous introduction. And to the ambassador and your Wife thanks so much for this Institution. I will say that I Love working for uncle sam. It's Hugely rewarding, hugely Challenging. And, as I've said To every student I've run into Since I've worked for the Government, uncle sam needs you. Uncle sam needs level headed Reason-based logical policy Makers like your own betsy Stevenson who is like an Unbelievable colleague to work With in the u.S. Government. Creative, reason-based, Experience-based and just Exceedingly decent person. And Then many other university of Michigan graduates. From Broderick johnson to cecilia Munoz, to valerie jared, these Are all -- I call them University of michigan Natio Nationalists because they're so Str Strident. No one nor strident Than my good friend who is now The deputy secretary of state Steve beacon who I've worked in A variety of capacity. There's Little that steve and I agree on Politically other than the Greatness of this country and The people and institutions like The university of michigan as a Real manifestation of that American power and american Strength and greatness. So, Thanks for all that you do and Thanks for having me. You know, I got involved in this issue and I just said this to a group of Folks associated with the ford School and others upstairs which Is not an overstatement. I got Involved because of the work That betsy and several of her Colleagues on the council of Economic advisors did with President obama. I still Remember president obama coming Home from a trip to the west Coast and we used to take a walk At the end of every day. We took A walk from 6-6:30. Rain or Shine. Even a day like today he Would have prided himself -- he Pretends like he is a chicagoan But he is more hawaiian. So, he Is not big on the cold. We'd go Out rain or shine, snow or Otherwise. I remember this walk Where he talked about a visit to San francisco and he had met a Young entrepreneur who was Working on a new radiology Algorithm. Which, as I think we All understand now, allows Better accuracy for cheaper by Accessing instab tan usely, you Know, millions and millions and Millions of x-rays against which To judge whether there's Deviations in existing x-ray. So, you are much more able to Make a decision about an Individual x-ray by running it As a against millions of other X-rays rather than putting it up On the screen with your glasses And you are looking at, you Know, how it goes. And so he Talked about it a little bit and I got excited as want to do. But He didn't as he want to do. He Is a very rational man. But he Was quite down about it. I said What are you bummed out about. Sounds like an amazing thing. He Said radiology is a good Middle-class job, you know, even Upper middle-class. How many Radiologists are going to be out Of work because of this Technology. And I said upstairs And I believe that one of his Great attributes is his ability To see around corners and to see Impact of decision. And it's one Of the things that at the ford School is so good at teaching Students. Let's think not only About the policy but think about The people behind the policy and What are the impact of the People on the people of those Policies. And this was an Ongoing theme. We used to Discuss it either in the monthly Job updates when betsy and jason Would bring the president the Jobs data the first friday of Every month. Or just an ongoing Conversation where he asks, you Know, what's happening to work, The dignity that comes with Work, the meaning that comes From work. And whose job is it To worry about dislocation from Work. And whose job is it to Think about that before the Dislocation happens rather than Picking up the pieces of Dislocation ex-post facto. And So when I left the government, J John, as the long line to your Question I really thought I want To spend my time on two issues. One is the dislocation of people As a result of climate and Conflict. And that's refugees. So, I spent a lot of time my on That. Then the other question Which I spend a lot of time on At marco which is what about the Nature of work and the changing Technological underpinnings of Our economy; can we anticipate In terms of dislocation and Problems and how can we get in Front of that. And how can we Make sure that our government Policies are both informed by What works and what needs to Happen for the economy but Informed by what people need to Have access to dignified work. Meaningful work, well paying Work. So, that's what we're Trying to do at the marko Foundation. By aggregating Experience from governors, by Business leaders, labor leaders, To extrapolate from what works And what doesn't to inform Federal policy making questions. >> JOHN CIORCIARI: give us a Sense of some of the approaches You have identified that appear To be effective or potentially Effective in managing some of These challenges. >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: so just Take -- one thing we spent a lot Of time on in colorado through What we call skillful is Focusing on a question of Non-college educated workers. So, these are workers with some College or no college. And how Are they finding access to Meaningful new training Opportunities to new jobs. We Did some partnership with Linkedin, for example, on trying To aggregate training Opportunities by geography. Trying to connect those training Opportunities to jobs, open jobs That needed the skills available In those training opportunities. And one of the things that we Found is that the person most Successful if finding new Training opportunities, getting Through and completing those Training opportunities then Getting into a new job, one of The things that defines success In a relatively small population Set was access to human coach. So not just access to technology But actually access to a human Coach. And something that Allowed a person to understand That allowed us to understand That that person can't stop his Or her life to go to a training Program that's only available in Work hours, for example, if that Person still has to make money To pay the bills for her family. That interaction with a coach Allows that person to somehow Personalize the training Opportunities so that they can Take into account their own Life, their own needs, and that It's not some kind of single Cookie cutter situation that Doesn't recognize that it's the People who are in needing of Training and skills, Opportunities are moms and dads. They have oftentimes one, two, Three existing jobs. But to get To that next level of Opportunity, to get to better Pay, more meaningful and Dignified work they need a more Nuanced opportunity to get new Skills and training. >> JOHN CIORCIARI: are there Good models that exist about the Division of labor or the Complementary of federal Government agencies, state and Local agencies, private Companies that might be the Employers for these workers? >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: well, you Know, so there's like big trend That's are troubling. One big Trend, for example, is the Rel Relatively smaller amount of Capital that companies Themselves are investing in Training. This is a problem. Companies are getting out of the Business of investing in their Workers. I think that's not a Good long-term trend. But it Does point out a public policy Problem for the government who Says then who is responsible for Skilling and who pays. So, one Of the things we're spending a Lot of time on as we look at Policy innovations how are we Thinking about who pays for Training opportunities, for Workers who are not owning a Bachelor of arts or a masters. And so there are examples of Private institutions like Goodwill interacting with local Employers or local community College s. Some of it funded by Available federal funding that Connects that training Opportunity to an actual open Job and does it in a much more Affordable way than to just put It on the worker herself to both Make her schedule work for an Existing program and pay for That out-of-pocket. But we'll See. We're continuing to work With 27 governors across the Country, republicans and Democrats. We're trying to Aggregate data from existing Programs and trying to identify Best practices of what works and What works well. >> JOHN CIORCIARI: in addition To the governors forum, are There other channels where you Think we need to invest to Generate ideas for policy Innovation? It can be Universities. It can be other Kinds of public/private Partnerships. >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: I think There's a lot of really Interesting institutions Existing. And one of the things Is you ask somebody -- one of The big challenges we find is For people looking for training They're captive to a closed Network. So, I talked a little Bit at lunch today with several Of the business school students And the Ford School students About their colleagues. It is an Amazing network that you have as University of michigan Students. That network will Travel with you forever. And You'll add new people to that Network and that will be very Kind of flexible and growing Network. A lot of workers in our Economy who are captive by Geography or by experience to a Much smaller network. And you Talk to some of these workers And say who are you talking to About training opportunities. Or Who are you talking to about new Job opportunities. Often-times The answer is, well, my brother, My sister and my dad, my pastor. And the question is, how do we Then plug into those existing Networks to broaden them, to Make them more vibrant. And can That be something as kind of as Informal as working through the Local goodwill. And how do we Pay for that. So those are some Of the questions that we're Looking at. Again, needn't be Some big structural question. People are operating in and out Of existing networks all the Time and so especially with the Amount of data that we have and The amount of technology that is Available we should be able to Grow those and make them much More vibrant than they have Been. >> JOHN CIORCIARI: one set of Challenges of course is how to Make the workforce as a whole More dynamic, adaptive, Responsive, retaining and so Forth. Another is to think like Many of the individuals in the Audience who are training now at The university of michigan to go Out into the workforce. I wonder If you could comment, you've had A lot of different kinds of jobs Or jobs that have required a Diverse set of skills. How does An individual who is here at the Ford school or at the university Prepare him or herself to be Adaptive and to have a skill set That can thrive in this new Economy? >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: first of all Use your judgment. If someone Comes to you with a big Difficult job with a lot of Stress that will turn your hair White as michael said, you know, Exercise your judgment. Say no. No, look, we talked about this At lunch, john, and I think this Is the secret right. Which is, I S Saids and I say if I could hire Hungry, I'd hire hungry every Time. The question then is what Are the attributes for hunger. You know. And how do you know That when you are hiring Somebody you are not hiring Somebody because you know she Has all the answers. You are Hiring her because she knows Where to go to find the answers. She knows how to lead a team to Develop the answers. She has the Confidence to ask the question Of the expert to get to the Answer. And, you know, I don't Know what the full suite of Skills on a resume are that says Hunger but I think I know some Of them, right. Which is Lan Languages, travel, work, Experience Experience. You know, going to School and putting yourself Through school, that speaks to Me about discipline. That speaks To me about hunger. Team sports, Working on tein teams. The ability To delay your gratification for A better outcome for the team. So those are things I'm looking For. The last thing is hunger is Just like curiosity. You know, What's great about being President of the united states? You get to work with people like Betsy and ask them any question You want to ask them. Then you Get the answer [lau [laughter] Obama used to say all the time I Love that I get to work with all These smart people and ask them These questions. Imagine if you Are that kind of curious person What kind of opportunity you are Presented with. So how you Demonstrate your curiosity. What Are you reading? Who are you Going to meet? And are you Really just talking to people Who share the same views as you Do? The same politics. How Boring. Are we really going to Let algorithms on our news Aggregators feed us up what to Feed? Or are we going to go find What we want to read or we know We need to read. Are we going to Let our biases be confirmed About what we learned before but You have to say I need to learn More about x. And let me find x. I'm not going to wait for x to Come to me. That is at the heart Of the university of michigan. That's at the heart of the ford School. I said to michael at Lunch, my brother used to -- Every day he would start with The sports page. I would say What are you doing. He said look If president ford can start Every day with the sports page I Can start with the sports page. I said but you start and end With the sports page [laughter] The question is where are you Going to get additional new Thinking. And, you know, don't Be the master of your own Opinions. Be the master of Finding new thinking and Associating with new people. And Boy you are out of the gates on That strong right now. >> JOHN CIORCIARI: and new Thinking gets you nicely to the Next segment of this Conversation which is to talk About complex multi-faceted Policy challenges. All of us are Reading in the newspaper about Coronavirus and thinking about Whether our institutions are in A position to be able to respond Effectively to it here at home Or internationally. I wonder if We could start by going back in Time several years and learning From your experience in the Response to the ebola crisis Several years ago. Widely fer Sieveed has -- perceived has Having been a successful Response despite the obvious Limitations to any response in Those scenarios. I wonder if you Can tell us what you think Worked well and what elements Could be replicated here. >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: sure let me Start with something that didn't Work well. Which is for -- so President obama thought -- I was Obviously bias but I think he Was a great leader. One of the Things he did really well is he Relied on experts. Could make a Team work together and sing Well. But then he circled back With thank yous to the team. Which I think is a really Important thing. So, you may Recall that we had a bunch of Doctors that deployed overseas. Some of them u.S. Government Doctors, some of them private Doctors. But he met with many of Them in the oval to say thanks. And everybody had on the way in Had to get their temperature Taken. We wanted to make sure They didn't have -- we stopped By the med unit. And I thought That was good. That's a good Safety check. So that meeting Happens and as soon as Everybody's gone I get a call. This wasn't the president's, you Know, scheduler, this was the President. He doesn't pick up The phone and call a lot. He is Like can you come down here. I Said well of course I can and I Will. He said why did that last Doctor give me the elbow? I said What are you talking about. He Said the last doctor in the line Didn't shake my hand. He gave me The elbow. And remember that, People would not shake hands. They didn't want to share any Germs. I said I think maybe it Was a joke. He said it was not a Joke. I'm not going home to Supper with the first lady and The girls until I know why that Guy gave me that eh elbow. So, I said okay I'll get you an Answer calmly and I walked down The hall thinking to myself oh My god did I just give the President of the united states Ebola [ laughter ] So, I called up ron and I Said hey can you get that doctor On the phone I want to find out Why he gave the president the Elbow. And so he tracked him Down and, of course, it was a Joke. I was able to tell the President. But I'll tell you What, it did not work because I Thought holy mackerel I'm going To go down to the chief of staff Who gave the president of the United states ebola. But here's What works. Right. Science Works. Best available data Works. So, you recall that one Of the things at the time was, Look why don't we stop all Travel from west africa to the United states. And on one level That logic seems sound. But the Best science says that stopping Travel encourages people to Withhold data. Withholding data Means you are going to get an Incomplete picture about the Nature of the spread of the Virus. And so if you incent People to hide what they're Experiencing, they will. Because If somebody wants or needs to Travel they're going to withhold Important information to help us Get a more complete picture of How the virus was being Transmitted. The political Answer was to say, yep, we can Turn off travel and access to The united states including by The way several were saying at The time, private american Doctors who had traveled to west Africa to help with the virus. We should just say you made that Decision you got to stay out. This was an active debate in the Country. But the data, best Practice and science all Dictates that's not the way to Run an operation. And it also Then requires you to go defend The scientific based -- science Based reaction to the crisis. And that may be political Uncomfortable. But at the end of The day, if you know what the Right outcome is, you have to Make a stand for that right Outcome. So that's one thing. Which is make your decision Based on best available science Not on bias, not on prejudice, Not on what even might be in Your best political interest, But rather on science. One. And Then two is use all the Instruments of your power to Confront this. And I think a Real unsung hero of that time Was chairman dempsey. The Chairman of the joints chiefs of Staff who under orders from the President arranged for the Deployment of many mobile Medical units staffed by u.S. Military personnel into west Africa that ended up serving, Putting our troops in the front Lines of this complex medical Challenge, crisis. Drawing on Their considerable skill and Training but also then Generating a host of goodwill For the united states because of The treatment and the support That we gave, you know, Thousands and thousands of Families in west africa. So, Science using all the elements Of american power and then also Just recognizing that honesty's The best policy. Right. If we've Got a crisis, call it a crisis. You don't wish it weren't a Crisis. Right. You don't pub Publish, don't worry we've got It all under control if you Don't. Because at the end of the Day, all you have, as a general Matter, but all you have in the Midst of a crisis is your word. And the confidence of the American people that they can Take to the bank what you say. And the minute you lose that is Going to be the minute that you Can't contain a crisis. So those Are my kind of first three, John. By the way, in each of Those places there's like Critically important person. Ron Who coordinated u.S. Government Policy kind of across agencies As the president's in effect a Czar for this. Dempsey the Chairman of the joint chiefs Really mobilized the military Presence in west africa. The President himself of course. But Then those multiple doctors. We Use to send the doctors out to The podiums all the time to Update the american people on What way eh knew and what we Didn't know. And these are all Things that I think the american People have come to expect from The government and I think They're wright to expect it. >> JOHN CIORCIARI: what do you Think are the similarities and Differences diplomatically Between the ebola response and Now coronavirus. In 2014 you had U.S. And britain had long Leadership roles and close Relationships. Here you've got a Large power with whom we have a More difficult relationship, More inclined to assert Sovereign control and management Over the problem, perhaps. In What way would this change the Response that you would Recommend diplomatically to this Coronavirus outbreak? >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: I think It's -- I think the first and Most obvious difference is the One you cite which is, you know, The current covid 19 broke out In the heart of china. In a Province which is like kind of The functional equivalent of Chicago. It's about four times The size of chicago but it's Like a second city. Which all The chicago people in here just Gasped at. High wife just gasped As well. What do you mean second City? Anyway, you get the Picture. So, its major place -- And the chinese are not going to Throw their doors open to the U.S. Or others to come in and Dig into the bottom of this. Whereas I think our west african Friends did. They invited in International support from day One of the threat. So that's One big difference. The second Big difference is -- and I saw Ron said this publicly the last Couple days is we know far less Today about the nature of this Virus, the coronavirus, than we Did at the start of the ebola Crisis. Which is something Because we didn't know much at The start of the ebola crisis. So, there's a lot to learn. Which underscores the importance Of maintaining open dialogue and Opportunities for open and Honest sharing that I referenced A minute ago. So that we can be Learning from each other's Epidemiology and each other's Experience. Really all we know About this virus is what we're Learning in the main from the Chinese but now south korean, Iranian and italian experiences, And japanese experiences. Our Ability to get up the curve of Understanding what's happening Is enhanced by our ability to Share across these countries. Chinese have not been great About this. I think people have Been pretty public about our Concern that maybe the chinese Are not fully sharing what they Know. And that's a challenge. But that's a challenge the u.S. Should be able to get our hands Around by increasing our Interaction with the chinese. >> JOHN CIORCIARI: there's a Debate in the papers of course Which many of you have read About whether an authoritarian System is better positioned or Less well positioned than Democracy to be able to deal With something like coronavirus When it enters a population. I Wonder if you could walk us Through your sense of where the United states would be better Prepared or where it would have Challenges that may not exist in China if indeed coronavirus Becomes prevalent in this Society. >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: I think at Some point it would be really Great to be on the other side of This crisis and be able to look Back and have this debate. So, I guess my first reaction is Let's make sure that we handle This right. And then look back. But some of the attributes -- my Wife and I have been discussing This at considerable a length. Because I think like a lot of Families people are worried. But What do I think are the positive Attributes of our system. One is That really since 9/11 we've Both at the state level then Coordinating fed -- through Federal to state level, we've Gotten good at sharing Information from the feds to State and local authorities and State and local medical Insti Institutions, hospitals. We've Gotten good at making sure we're Prepared for big crisis. That We're sharing necessary Equipment. Making sure that the Federal government is helping Subsidize and fund that Equipment to state and local. So, I feel good about that. And Then we're also good at Exercising these capabilities. One of the things that was Really remarkable watching how We treated, for example, Infected doctors who came home With ebola was, you know, those Facilities in houston and Atlanta were expert at managing That particular virus. And That's just a function of Intense training and then Exercising those training Skills. So those are three Things that I feel quite good About. The thing that I am Worried about is that we not Somehow think that we can Explain away the nature of the Crisis. Just have to be very Candid about what we know. Very Candid about what we don't know. Then be very candid and regular In our communication with the American people to bring them up To speed on how we're learning. So, I think it was a very choppy Start yesterday where there seem To be different messages coming From the federal government About whether this is going to Be a pandemic, whether it's Currently in control, what to Expect. And then fairly Nondescript guidance to families To say everybody should be Prepared for this. I remember Reading through the stories Thinking okay that's great but So what does that mean. So, I'm Worried about the relatively Choppy nature of the Communication so far. And so Those are all resolvable things And I think the american people Have a right to expect answers On those questions. >> JOHN CIORCIARI: in just a Moment I'm going to open up to Questions from the audience that Vivian, jacob and professor len Will pose. But one more on this. Back to the level of International organizations. I Read a statistic the other day That says the world health Organization's annual budget is Around the same as a mid-sized American hospital. And making The case for more investment in That global organization as a Way to coordinate and transfer Knowledge. What's your sense of How reliant we are on effective Multi-national organizations to Respond to crisis like this as Opposed to networked bilateral Diplomacy? >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: I think We're -- I think we are reliant On it. I don't think overly Reliant on it. And I think, you Know, so I saw something in the News this morning in the Newspaper on the way out flying In to detroit that I think Harvard and yale were to Announce a project where they're Cooperating on some epidemiology Around this virus with ex Existing -- institutions in China with whom they have Existing relationships. I think That's a really good thing. I Think that we have bilateral Cooperation with the chinese. Certain international global Health issues. For example, out Of ebola the chinese were very Supportive of the effort in west Africa on ebola in 2014/15. That Cooperation was I think as much Profound set of cooperative Efforts between the united States and china and the International system as we've Ever had. I think that's a Positive thing. So those are all Positive things. But at the end Of the day, I think what you Need the w.H.O. For is and you Want to make sure its there when You need it. So, you can't spin This up occasionally. It's got To be an available capability, Reliable capability, is the Ability to share data about Existing challenges. So, w.H.O. Team just has come out over the Course of the last day I gather From woulu hann. They're able to Come out with data which will Help inform us about decision Making about this virus. If we Didn't have that data we'd been Even further behind trying to Understand what's happening in As much as I said. I think the Chinese have not shown us all Their cards yet. And the w.H.O. Gives us an opportunity of Something to get smarter much More quickly than we would have Without it. So, I think the Answer to your question is that Yeah I think we could rely on -- I think we could invest more on The w.H.O. But it doesn't have To be massive, right. What it Does, it does well. What it does Is it shares data and Information about what's Happening. But that is not Enough. We have to continue with These bilateral cooperative Efforts at both the government And non-governmental level. >> JOHN CIORCIARI: let's turn to Some questions from the Audience. I realize that we've Got other issues that would have Come up in conversation that You've done work on including Migration, cybersecurity, and a Whole host of other issues and I'm sure we'll get to some of Those now. thank you for coming. My name Is jacob. I am a senior in the B. A. Program here folk if us on Middle east policy and International development. First Question is: your pre-chief of Staff background is heavily Grounded in foreign policy and International relations. >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: so why did He hire me to do the other job? [laughter] when you are chief of Staff and oversee a massive Portfolio. In what ways did your Foreign policy experience inform Your analysis of domestic Policy? >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: so I Remember talking to the President about the job. And I Said, look, here's what I know, Mr. President. I can't be like a Domestic policy advisor like Rahm or j-- ron or jack. Probably Because I'm so much taller than Ron and so much better looking Than jack [laughter] I said look that's just not Might thing, right -- my thing. Right. The good news though is That there are people around you Like betsy and like jeff and see Celia munoz and broderick Johnson who are expert in their Area. And so if you put me in This job, I'm not going to be Your policy advisor, because I Can't be that person. By the Way, you have a national Security advisor in tom and Susan rice who are world class. So my job is not to be your Advisor. My job is to make sure That this team works and gets You sound advice that the Decisions that come to you are Sq Square, that the options have Been developed transparency, and So that you won't be surprised That somehow you make a decision Then you learn ex-post facto About the decision that well, You know, three or four agencies In the government oppose the Decision. Every decision he Makes, look, do you reserve the Hardest decisions for the President right. That's their Job. And the thing the chief of Staff has to do to be a good Chief of staff is to tee those Decisions up square. Not be the Person who is on a walk saying, You know, well, you know, let's Really delve into mr. President The difference between medicare And medicaid. I am here to tell You that thank god I never did That because I don't know Anything about that. All right. But we have people like kathleen Sebelius and sylvia and gene who Did. So my job was to make sure They had an opportunity to Present those options to the President. And my commitment to Him was that those decisions Will be presented squarely, the Team will feel part of the Decision. Because at the end of The day, the decision is just The start. Because the decision The president makes sets off Execution. And white houses get In trouble when they forget that The hard part comes after the Decision on the execution. good evening. Vivian. A first Year mpp student here at the Ford school with interests in International policy. This next Question pertains to the labor Discussion we had earlier. Specifically what are your Thoughts on a universal basic Income or guaranteed income for Lower income individuals as a Tool to combat the rise of Automation and skill-based Dislocation? >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: it's Interesting I mean I've seen a Couple of interesting papers on, For example, how alaska managed And has managed proceeds from The alaska oil pipeline and how, You know, that has arguably Fun Functioned similar to kind of a Ubi-like policy tool for alaska. And there's a lot to commend to That and some problems that have Come from that. So, I don't Rule it out, but I'm very clear Eyed about it because at the Moment kind of the fundamental Attributes that we have to a System that supports people in Transition or people suffering From dislocation in our system Are just the basic pieces that We have today are currently Under attack. Right the Affordable care act, work Requirements around medicaid, The efforts to reduce access Associated with the affordable Care act. Work requirements, for Example, around medicaid which I Think have been proven to not Show any discernible uptick in Work but have proven to show Discernible down tick in access To medicare and healthcare Treatment or access to Healthcare generally. I'd like To staff those and solidify the Pieces of our existing safety Net that have proven themselves Quite well over time. And then I'd also like to make sure that We're focused on making sure That there are dignified Training options for people who Want them cognizant of the Individual circumstances of Those people who are looking for Those training options so they Have access to dignified work. I Think there's currently enough Dignified work to be done. The Question is how are we Disintermediating between the People who can do it and the Work. And one of the big pieces Of it I think is how we Advertise open work. In Colorado, 75 percent of open Construction manager jobs Require a bachelor of arts. 23 Percent of current construction Man Managers have a bachelor of Arts. So, why is that? I think That the market itself is Insufficiently transparent, so Opaque, and leaves out a lot of People who may have the skills But are not able to advertise Those skills because we Advertise the job for a Credential, a b. A., that Two-thirds of the country does Not have. So, we're just Leaving too much of our massive Talent off the field.. audience member: this is a Job training question. How does Job retraining and the tools That might be successful change When looking at a whole industry Is built on an industry such as Coal mining. How do you get that Job training. >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: this is the Hard case, right. And I think That we -- well the short answer Is I don't know yet. But I think If you go back to honesty is the Best policy, part of this is That promising a return of jobs That are not going to come Because of changing technology Or changing requirements is not The best way to do that. And so I don't -- I don't want to over Promise this. I think we don't Know yet. The data is out on This. I think the interesting Part is that we have a lot of Governors who are trying a range Of options. And our goal at the Re-org Re-org america task force is to Try to extrapolate from those Experiences to see if there's Something the federal government Can co differently. Audience e Eps --. audience member: what Changes do you believe need to Be made to the education system To promote a more fair labor Market that addresses the Strength of the individual? >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: well, this Is both in response to the Question and response to my Current situation since I have Kids who are 18, 15 and 12. I'd Like to see higher education get More affordable [laughter] Two is also it would be good to Figure out a way for us to have A more nimble training and Education opportunity over the Course of an individual's Lif Lifetime. Recognizing that you Don't stop upscaling when you Are 22, 23 or 25 or 26. So the Question is how do we make the Rest of the training Infrastructure more accessible, More flexible and agile to Respond to people's lives rather Than making people drop their Lives to try to get into the Training system so that you can Continue to add skills in those Years, say, 25-55. And, you Know, so I think some of the Attributes of those to an Education system that does that Would mean people are more able To carry with them in some kind Of reasonable cost-effective way A record of the skills they'ving A regated over time. Right now If you want to go get your -- so I've got a b. A. And an m.S. When I want to get my Transcripts I have to pay 25 Bucks. All right. It's not a Major deal for me but what's the Deal? Why do I have to pay 25 Bucks for that. I thought I got That when I went to college [laughter] Right. So, I say that mostly in Jest but think if you're a Military spouse and you've taken Courses at a variety of Institutions across the country As you've gone from different Bases to different bases as your Spouse has been active duty. And You have to aggregate those Skills or the transcripts and You are paying 25 bucks a pop. Why is that? Shouldn't we be Much more able to allow somebody To carry that lifelong learning Transcript with them. So they Cab call on it. All right. With Technology being what it is Today, that should be more Doable. So, there's things from Big structural things to Relatively smaller technology Fixes -- technical fixes that I Think what actually empower Workers themselves to demand a Better wage in the market. But Right now too much of the market Is really tilted towards opassty And away from the interest of The worker.. audience member: so given Your experience on security Issues, what do you see as the Role of drone strikes right now And how would you evaluate that Policy based on your time at the White house? >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: awesome Question. So I commence to you a speech That president obama gave in may Or june 2013 at the national Defense university where he gave A speech about how he saw the Limits on his power to carry out And to use this new technology Of drones. And I think the Speech itself largely holds up. The principals at the heart of The speech which is that the President maybe even especially Because of the new technology Wanted to make sure that the American people had confidence That he in exercising this great Power afforded to him by that Technology is still ultimately Accountable to the american People as their elected Representative. So that he owed Them answers about the Circumstances under which he Used that technology, the impact Of that technology. Say, for Example, on civil an casualties. The legal basis for him to use That power. And as a result of All that he felt a great Opportunity to make transparent And public as much of that Information as he could. Partly Because of the nature of our System, which is it is a Democratic system, he has the Ability to exercise that power Because of the votes of the American people so he owes them Transparency. But also because This fick is going to pro -- Technology is going to Proliferate. And if we are not As transparent as accountable as We can be in our system, how Will more closed systems, like Russia, less accountable systems Like iran or china, use that Technology. So, he felt a great Responsibility to kind of put Out those principals in such a Way as to try to raise the bar On other governments. I think The extent to which those Practices that he laid out in That speech and that we've Subsequently followed until 2017 Have been changed. I think That's ultimately detrimental to The american national interests. For two reasons. Which is it Reduces accountability to the American people as I suggested a Minute ago. Two is it gives Greater cart blanche to other Actors in the international System to operate less beholden To the kinds of principals that We have come to expect from our Lea Leaders.. audience member: what was The most challenging event or Situation you encountered while In the white house and how did You handle it? >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: that's an Excellent question. So I will say one thing first Just about the structure of the White house. So the west wing Is kind of the business end of The white house. The east wing Is the first lady's business end Of the white house. Then the Residence is right in the Middle. That's where the first Family lives. In the west wing The chief of staff's office is On the corner, kind of the Southwest corner of that Building. Then about, I don't Know, 40 yards east of there is The oval office. So it's pretty Closs. 120 feet, 150 feet. And Here's two things. Maxims. In Four years as chief of staff Never once did I beat good news To the oval office [laughter] Never once. Mr. President, I Just wanted to come down and let You know we just got the Decision from the supreme court On the affordable care act. Oh I Know. Just got a call from eric Holder we're all set. Mr. President I just want to let You know I just heard from Negotiators, we've got a deal on The paris accords. Oh I know. I Was just on the phone with john. Okay so 0 for 4 years on good News. Here is the flip side of That maxim. Never once did bad News beat me to the oval office [laughter] Every single time, hey did you Mention that to the president, I Haven't had a chance [laughter] In fact, josh bolten who was President bush's last chief of Staff said well you have to have A chief of staff because if you Didn't the president would never Get any bad news [ laughter ] So, as premise -- with that Premise, here's my worst day in The white house. About October 8, 2013. And I remember Walking down the hallway from The chief of staff's office to The oval office and I was about To tell the president that it Wasn't an access of demand for Healthcare that was stopping People from being able to get Through healthcare.Gov. It was That healthcare.Gov itself was Broken. That we rolled out a Broken piece of technology for Him. And I knew I was going down There to tell him that after Literally every week since I Became chief of staff the President literally said this to Me. He said, Denis, you know That healthcare.Gov and the new Marketplace only works if the Website works, right. I said Absolutely, mr. President. We're All over that. So, I told him That. So, I started the first Week of february and this is now The first week of october. So What's that, 32 times I told Him, got it all under control, Mr. President. Everything's Fine. And I remember telling Him. And it's one of those Things like we've all had it. You anger your parents and you Really hope they just yell at You. But they're so disappointed They don't even raise their Voice [laughter] You are just like this is Terrible. Please yell at me or Fire me. I don't know. So, I Did tender my resignation and he Was having none of that. But I Think he knew that we are in an Open enrollment period. So that Is to say a period during which People could enroll in the Market place. And we had a set Period. For the first year it Was three months. So, 12 weeks. And we needed every day of those To the risk pool as we could Get. Not just sick people who Knew they needed healthcare Insurance but healthy people so That we could smooth out the Risk. And he knew that if he Fired me we'd be slower than Getting the system back up and Running and getting people Enrolled. So, I was saved by my Own incompetence. But that was By far the worst day. I still Have plenty of times when I lay In bed at night and close my Eyes and I still see that little Hour glass on the screen of my Computer that no matter how many Times I press the button on my Keyboard, nothing happened. So That was a terrible day.. audience member: how do You balance your own beliefs and Working in the white house? And What is your best advice to Stu Students hoping to serve in Public life? >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: that's a Great question. So I -- I am going to answer This in two ways. I had a mentor In graduate school named seth Tillman, a terrific man. In Fact the first person I told I Had been offered the chief of Staff's job by president obama. And he is a fascinating guy. He Was senator fulbright's speech Writer. And so you think about All the great books that senator Fulbright wrote. Legislator as Educator, power and principal, Arrogance of power. And you Think about the role that he Played as chairman of the Foreign relations committee in Ending the vietnam war and think To yourself that must have been An interesting guy to work for. And seth was a fascinating guy. And he talked to me about Something he called the staffer Ethos. Staffer ethos he says Is -- by the way he worked for The same foreign relations Committee when there was not a Republican and democratic staff There was just one staff. So, He worked for eh republicans and Democrats. He said his job was To be best prepared on his Position for the private Discussion with the senator and Argue his position as stre Strenuously as he could until The senator made the decision. At that time that was now his Position. And it would forever Be his position. If I have sim Pa this I for president trump on One thing, it's this. Staff Walking out of a meeting with Him and saying he decided x but It was for y. What gives you the Right to do that? That strikes Me as chicken. You make your Arguments in private and then The president makes his Decision, her decision, and That's your position. Now, this Is not easy with senator Fulbright. Democratic senator From arkansas who finally lost Re-election in 1972. Because When he wasn't stopping the war In vietnam you know what he was Doing? Filibustering the voting Rights act. Filibustering the Civil rights act. So, I asked Seth about that. I said gees That's like a little hard on the Whole staffer ethos thing, Right. You are working for a Segregationist. Seth points up The challenge of the question. Right. Which brings me to the Second way I often get this Question which is: I have ten Brothers and sisters. Myoldest Brother is a catholic priest. My Second oldest brother is a Former catholic priest. So the Question often comes as a good Catholic how can you work for a Democrat. You know. So, I Usually try to moderate my anger But then the answer is this. Which is if I want to be the Decider I should be the President. Or the member of Congress or the senator. But as A staff guy you're asked to Be -- hired to be in those jobs To make your positions known. And in that regard I feel like Oftentimes president obama Sought me out particularly Because of my view. And Oftentimes because he knew it Was different than his. So my Expectation isn't that I win Every argument. Who gets to work In a job where you win every Argument? And if you do, you are Probably working in the wrong Place. Right. The challenge is Do you get the opportunity to Make your argument. Or is Somebody trying to force you to Trim your argument to coincide With a generally popular view. Or can you speak your mind Because you've trained your Mind, you've through hunger Developed your mind. Through Association with these great Professors learned all sorts of New things. The president that I Know best wanted a staff person Who did that not who gave him an Answer that he warranted to Hear. Or that he was predisposed To believe in the first Instance. Those he was most Suspicious of. Isn't that right? If he knew you were building the Lily boy that's it. So, in Response to the question, what Do I -- I forget precisely the Question but what's my advice. My advice is to be the smartest Youen can be and be as Passionate as you can be. And Don't put your light under the Bushel. Put your light on top of The bushel and make your Arguments. But recognize you Don't win every one. By the way, As I said, if you are winning Every argument, you are probably In the wrong place.. audience member: how does The recent polarization between Majority conservative and Majority liberal communities Make it increasingly difficult For the american people to Collectively respond to crises? >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: that's a Good question. I mean, I Think -- I don't think there's Anything about polarization per Se that makes response to crisis Harder. Provided that our Leadership is relying on some of Those tenants we talked about Earlier. Which is letting Science dictate decisions. Now Being afraid to take the hard Right position, that is to say The hard difficult position Rather than the easy, more Politically attractive decision. And relying on people because of Their expertise. If you are Willing to stick to those Principals I think you can Manage any crisis. Our Institutions have seen Everything. I said this at lunch But think about the white house Itself. 45 presidents, actually President trump is 45. Every President's had a piece of that White house. Washington didn't Live in it. He negotiated the Purchase of the south lawn. Adams lived it but just for a Couple months. Long enough to Write like the most beautiful Letter to his wife. I wish I Could write the way these guys Write. My wife might actually Like me better [laughter] Madison decided to move out. Everybody else moved back in Until truman. He had to move Back out but they realized how Ba Badly we rebuilt the building After the brits and canadiens -- I repeat what I said before and I won't use a swear word that I Used at lunch -- burned it down. But every president's had a Piece of that building. Which is To say everything this country Has gone through, saying a big Part of our population is three Fifths of a person, slavery, Civil war, world war, civil Rights movement, 9/11. How Arrogant to think that any Individual moment you have in That building is so unique that You should just invent a new way To deal with a problem. So, our Inf Institutions are up to the Challenges that we face. And That's because our institutions Of made up of all these people. This is why I so badly want more Of these university of michigan Natio Nationalists to move to Washington and go to work for Uncle sam. Because you are the Insti Institutions. And we're up to These challenges. There's no Question in my mind. Absolutely No question in my mind. Any time A leader tells you we're not, we Got the wrong leader. It's time To change him.. audience member: I think This might be the last yes we Have time for you. What advice Can you give young voters when Trying to vote for in the Primaries and what bolsies Should we prioritize and how Much does a candidate's past Affect how much we should trust Them? >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: I say the Most important advice I can give You is vote. President obama Used to come back from these, Like, trips to see students. I Mentioned this earlier today. He Was always so excited. Students Are so all truistic, so Creative, entrepreneurial. But Sounds like they're so busy Doing those things they don't Vote. Mrs. Obama has a saying. She says raise your hand if you Are listening to the play list That your grandmother made for You. No list. No hands. Raise Your hand if you are wearing an Outfit that your grandfather Pi Picked out for you. No hands go Up. Says well as long as you Keep not voting you're by virtue Of the data letting your Grandmother and grandfather Decide who will lead you. So, Vote. That's the thing I just Cannot tell you enough of. Vote. And in terms of the person's History. You know, I forget What axlerod calls the Primaries. He calls them Something like gut check or Something like that. You can't Get through this without the American people knowing you. You know, I think you know after Seeing everything that's come And gone in primaries, I think You know the people at the end Of the day. I am not one of Those who is very cynical about These people. I think as a General matter, most of these People are in this for the right Reason. And in any case they're Showing you all their cards. And So I actually don't really care Who you vote for. I just really, Really, really, really, really, Really want you to vote. And if That happens there is nothing More than we hope for. So, Please vote. >> JOHN CIORCIARI: Thank you. A Very good sort of call to Concrete action to take away From the conversation. We Appreciate your insights on a Broad array of issues. Let's Please continue the conversation Outside where we have a Reception and please everyone Stay involved. We've got a great Stream of events continuing Through the winter and spring. Please join me in thanking Denis Mcdonough. >> DENIS MCDONOUGH: Thank you Very much. [applause]