All right. I think I'm going to go ahead and get things started. Good morning and thank you for coming. I'm Sarah Mills. I'm a postdoctoral fellow in the Center for Local, State and Urban Policy, CLOSUP, which is a research center based here at the Ford School. This event today is part of our CLOSUP in the classroom initiative. It's an effort to more actively engage students in the research that we do in CLOSUP. This includes not just bringing students in to our research projects as policy analysts, but also, thanks to a grant from the provost's office, developing two new undergraduate courses that allow us to bring our research into the classroom physically. My colleague, Debra Horner, taught a class in Michigan Politics and Policy in the fall where her students incorporated data from our Michigan Public Policy Survey into their projects, and this event today is part of a class that I am teaching right now, titled Energy and Environmental Policy Research, which is teaching students how to develop and conduct policy research in these domains, drawing heavily from the work that we're doing in CLOSUP. Before I forget to mention it, I invite you all to come to see the students discuss their independent research projects two weeks from today in a classroom just across the hall. The information is on the back of the program. At that conference you'll see what the students have been doing. Some of them have been using data from CLOSUP's biannual energy policy surveys. Others are developing case studies on environmental policies in particular states. Others are looking at how environmental technology policy is framed in the media or in policy debates. And still others are inventorying how the types of policies that local governments have in place for emerging issues, such as food and waste policy. Because this event is part of that class, really, what I'm aiming to do today is to model how researchers use discussions with their colleagues, often at research conferences, to help define their own work and then test ideas for new projects, but in the spirit of CLOSUP in the Classroom, this panel really isn't staged today. Today we're going to be discussing a project that we hope to scope out to become a CLOSUP project. One of the threads of research in CLOSUP is the CLOSUP fracking project. In the past our activities have included public opinion research on attitudes towards fracking, as well as in-depth and comparative case studies, looking at how states and local governments are regulating fracking. Not just environmental policies related to fracking operations, but also tax policy. This is the current focus of CLOSUP's director Barry Rabe, and just last week, my postdoc colleague, one of my postdoc colleagues in CLOSUP, David Houle, received a grant from the government of Quebec to convene a panel at the Midwest Political Science Association to talk about how Canadian and U.S. subfederal fracking policies compare. Anybody that does research though knows that sometimes the research ideas and collaborations come from odd places, and this map last fall really caught my eye. It's from Ceres, a nonprofit that deals with sustainable investments and other business activities, and shows that much of the fracking and other oil and gas related activity around the country is taking place in areas that also have high water stress. So the red colors are higher water stress. To some extent I knew this, but two things about this map really caught my eye. One is about how much active fracking basins cross state boundaries. You can see those basins in white. And as I mentioned, this is some work that we've been doing here at CLOSUP of comparing how different states regulate fracking. But another thing that really caught my eye was how much oil and gas development there was in the Great Plains, right atop the Ogallala Aquifer which is a resource that we know is under considerable stress from overuse. This hasn't been something that CLOSUP has studied before, but I had been at an event a couple months earlier where I ran into Jenna Bednar, a professor in political science, and she mentioned her interest in wanting to study governance in the Ogallala. So this is -- in case you're not familiar with the outlines of the Ogallala, there it is. And you can see if I go back to the other map, that there's lots of overlap here. Once I saw this map and shared it with Jenna, she agreed that this seemed like the perfect opportunity to scope out a new project. So we have expertise in fracking policy here at CLOSUP, and Jenna is interested in water governance, but we didn't have much experience in the Great Plains, and that is where Margaret comes in. We found Margaret's work by combing through fracking and water -- combing through the literature, and her work really combines fracking and water policies, specifically in Texas, and so we invited her here today, honestly, to better understand her research and to pick her brain and to help us scope out what this next CLOSUP project might look like. So with that, I realize that you don't have the bios for them, so I want to give a bio for each of the panelists, and then step out of the way and let you guys talk about what you know. So Margaret Cook is finishing her Ph.D. in civil engineering at the University of Texas at Austin. She has a dual master's degree in public affairs and environmental and water resource engineering, and her research focuses on using policies, markets and technologies to alleviate the effects of water constraints on fuel extraction and energy generation. She's looked at the potential for mitigation of water stress in Texas through collaboration on water conservation or reuse technologies, technology improvements between the energy sector and others. She's also examined the potential effects of future drought and heat wave on power generation at thermoelectric power plants in Texas and the Midwest. She has used her expertise at the Texas legislature, the U.S. Department of Energy, Apache Corp., which is one of the fracking companies, and Austin Energy to inform her research. Jenna Bednar is a professor of political science and the Edie N. Goldenberg endowed director of the Michigan in Washington Program at the University of Michigan. She's also a member of the external faculty at the Santa Fe Institute. She studies how the interaction between legal systems and culture affects the ability of a social system to withstand shocks and produce collective goods. And Barry Rabe is the director of CLOSUP and the J. Ira and Nicki Harris Family professor of public policy in the Ford school. He's also a nonresident senior fellow in the governance studies program at the Brookings Institute, and a fellow of the National Academy of Public Administration. I've mentioned much of his research already on fracking, but should also note that he recently served on the National Research Council Committee on Risk Management and Governance Issues in Shale Gas Development. So I've asked each of the panelists to spend just a few minutes talking about their research and then I'm going to turn it over to them really to engage in this discussion, comparing and contrasting their work, and then there will be plenty of time to open it up for your questions to the panelists as well. >> [Inaudible] Margaret Cook. I'm a Ph.D. candidate at the University of Texas, and I'm from Texas, so it's a really important place for me, it's home, it's where I live now. I'm from actually South Texas, which is one of the areas that blew up with the shale boom that happened in the early 2000s, and it's also a place that's very prone to drought. Actually, most of Texas is very drought prone, and on top of that, we had this huge increase in hydraulic fracturing in combination with horizontal drilling, and that's -- we already had oil and gas activity, we were already used to that, but then we added this hugely water intensive technology to the system and it made all of these areas of Texas that were not previously economically viable targets for oil and gas development, it made them now economically viable, and they were places that weren't used to that oil and gas activity already. They had maybe agricultural activity, but not oil and gas. And then some of them were next to cities, and so you had this new friction in areas that weren't used to this boom, like the Permian Basin in West Texas that had it for decades before, and so they're getting used to these changes. And then in many of these areas they already had agricultural water use, they already had some industrial water use, power plants, whatever, some municipal water use depending on the area. So already competing sectors and many of them were already over-withdrawing their aquifers, they were mining them, or over-allocating their rivers, and then you add oil and gas activity on top of that. And so this last guy in, oil and gas, marginal water user, on top of water stress, on top of a huge one-year drought in 2011, followed by four years after that of more drought, created this kind of hurdle towards we have to do something about this water use. And so that's kind of the motivation of my research, but it's also the motivation of the 83rd and 84th legislative sessions, where the legislators came in, in 2013 and 2015, to try to make changes to their water system. And so that's part of my research, part of the motivation for my research, is what can we do in this water system to make sure that oil and gas is not hurting the people that are in that area. I mean, the people that are selling their water to oil and gas activities are people that are getting money for their mining rights. They're definitely getting a benefit, but then their neighbors next to them, they might not be. And so we don't want this social issue of people upset about water being depleted. We also don't want to shoot ourselves in the foot, even though we do like guns in Texas, but we also like our feet. So we want to make sure that we have water for the future and that's something that we have to plan for, and a drought is usually one we plan in Texas, unfortunately. Pray for rain and then plan for it, and so that's how we made that push towards water savings as a state, but they didn't get all the way there and so some of my research is what else can we do. It's what are we doing, what can we do better, what changes need to be made on this system. And one of the particular things that I think that we should push more towards in Texas is water recycling. So right now we have a permit by rule system that says if you're doing it right, you can do it, for water recycling, but there's no incentives for it, and we have a lot of disposables so that's also an incentive to just truck the water and get rid of it. And from a water system perspective, if you're disposing contaminated water, you're getting rid of those contaminants, that's a really important thing, but you're also taking water out of a system for the foreseeable future, and that's not normal for that area. Usually water is being sent back to the river, evaporates, goes back somewhere else, but it's also -- it means that it's not going to be economically used again. And so if we could find ways to, within the market for water if it exists in the area, recycle our water and be able to use it again, that's something that I think that the legislature should do a better job of. And so in one of the papers that I wrote I looked at the policy framework because we have to know and understand that, but then what else can we do to reduce our water use in energy, reduce our water use in the other sectors, recycle our water, all of those different things. So that's just one example of how we can be better as a state. I think that's a good introduction, you know, [inaudible]. >> All right. So we had dinner -- I have to confess, we had dinner together last night, and Barry and I just basically spent the entire dinner grilling Margaret. She knows so much and we know so little, and so that's what I encourage all of you to think about right now. We're going to say a few things, but really, we want to turn very quickly the spotlight back on to her because as I explained to her, we in Michigan, we love our water, right, but we have a very different relationship to water than Texas. We are the, I guess it's safe to say, the world's most plentiful in terms of fresh water resources. We have it abundantly in Michigan and so we're blessed. Texas is in a very different situation. So I just want to -- you know, I'm a scholar of federalism. I think about federalism as a collective action. Probably my interests in water management and water governance has to do with water resources that span boundaries, political boundaries, which then become governance challenges because it means that different political units need to overcome their distinct interests to collaborate, to manage this shared resource. So what I want to do is just give you quickly kind of a framework for thinking about this type of problem, and so then we might apply it to the kinds of water governance issues that Texas is facing, and more generally, this interesting challenge that comes with the water and energy nexus. Right. So the Ogallala, which Sarah put a map up, for those of you who aren't familiar with this, it's a massive water resource that's underground. Right. So it spans from South Dakota down to Texas, eight states in all can tap into the Ogallala. In terms of volume, the water in the Ogallala is equivalent to Lake Erie and Lake Huron. So it is truly massive, and it is the primary resource for irrigated agriculture in many of those states that touch the Ogallala. So it's tremendously important for agriculture for the kinds of things that we eat every day, like bread. But those states, of those eight states, their dependence on the Ogallala varies widely, depending, of course, on their natural rainfall and their surface water resources. So where Wyoming and South Dakota have only negligible withdrawals from the Ogallala, Kansas and Texas are very heavy users of the Ogallala. So we think of a resource like the Ogallala as a common pool resource; that is, it's a shared resource that's finite and depletable. The estimates are -- even though it's a massive resource, the Ogallala is, as I said, being depleted and at very fast rates. So the estimates are that the lifespan of the Ogallala at current depletion rates is only decades; that is, this is truly an urgent issue. And if it's already having -- its withdrawal rates and depletion levels are already having significant effects and stresses on farmers in Kansas and Texas, and some extent in Oklahoma, so requiring deeper and deeper -- as the water levels drop, deeper and deeper pumps to withdraw that, which are much more capital intensive. And so what that does is, is it drives out the small scale farmers who can't afford those larger pumps. So it has this kind of perhaps not immediately intuitive consequence as the levels are dropping. So common pool resources create a collective action problem; that is, if the users could agree to limit their use, this resource could be sustained. So it's not hopeless. That said, unless they agree collectively and are able to form some sort of credible commitment to that collective agreement, each one of them, acting independently, has an incentive to stick their straw in and suck as much as possible as quickly as possible, right, to get it before the other users of the system get it. So this, for a political scientist, you know, it's a nasty problem for those who are using it, but it's a fascinating one for us as scientists. So the Ogallala currently has no plan for common resource management across those eight states. Some states, and there are some local districts, which I hope we'll be able to talk about a little bit, who are making some attempts, but because this is a collective action problem, because of the common pool resource nature of this aquifer, unless the entire community commits to changing its behavior, these independent actions actually will lead to what some of -- if you've studied the prisoner's dilemma, the suckers payoff; that is, those who self-limit are shooting themselves in the foot. So in 2009 political scientist Elinor Ostrom at Indiana University won the Nobel Prize in Economics for her work, both theoretical and empirical, studying successful management of these common pool resources. One thing that emerged from her work, which is very surprising to people, is that it doesn't require, say, the federal government to step in and take over; that is, the users of these common pool resources can manage to form a collective agreement. She laid out a set of eight principles that are commonly seen in successful management practices. These include monitoring, punishment, things you might expect, flexibility, community participation in the rule setting, congruence between local rules and -- between the rules and local conditions and, first and most importantly, a clearly defined boundary for this community. So the community of users must be clearly known to all who are participating and all be involved in the collective management. So in the case of an aquifer, they could form an interstate compact. This is something that's allowed under United States law. The states could collectively agree upon a set of rules to manage this resource that Congress could then okay, but they haven't done so. There hasn't been any attempt. There are some successful models. Something that we are all familiar with here in Michigan is the Great Lakes Compact, a tremendously successful, I believe, model that does quite well with Ostrom's principles. It was tested recently with the Waukesha diversion, and although that diversion was so to divert the water resources outside of the basin only by about a mile and a half, but even though that seems like a negligible diversion, it was years in the making, cost the City of Waukesha $5 million just in generating proposals for this, and over $200 million in cost to the city to comply with the terms that were eventually ironed out within the compact; that is, it is a well-tested compact that is likely to be successful in managing our resource. There might be some similar opportunities in the Ogallala. So as I close, I just want to lay out some challenges with the Ogallala that we might think about with Barry's remarks on fracking and then as we turn things back over to Margaret. So first, the varying stress levels. Groundwater different from surface water in the sense that there are varying replenishment rates. Nebraska, very spongy soils so the water in the subbasins within Nebraska is replaced much more quickly than they are in, say, Texas. There's also a varying need for it, of course, because of the differences in rainfall and river systems, but those are the kinds of challenges that ought to be something that can be overcome by a well-worked out compact. Another big problem though is the urgency that I mentioned earlier, that we really are at a moment when, by the end of this century, farmers may not have use of the Ogallala waters. And overcoming this challenge is a political process and political processes involve lots of compromises and can be very, very slow in coming, so we can't wait. We need to get moving on this. Another one which we've been talking a little bit, Sarah and Barry and I, is interesting about the Ogallala is different from, say, the Great Lakes, is this is -- it's underground so it's a hidden resource, and I think there is something quite special about that, in the sense that there might not be the same perception of this being a shared resource and so there might not be the same perception of a natural community, and that affects the willingness of users to think about themselves as participants in this community. But then, and most significantly, of course, for this panel, is fracking. So the question is are these new energy opportunities and economic opportunities provided by fracking, is that necessarily competitive with the other users of the Ogallala. We would intuitively think so, but these two independently have some ideas about ways that fracking activities could actually be helpful to sustainability goals. And so I'll let them explain for themselves the kinds of things that they've discovered in their own research, but it is counterintuitive and very interesting, I think. So in sum, the Ogallala, a very tricky problem on its own, and the question now will be with the water energy nexus, will that be helpful or harmful to sustainable management of this resource. >> Thank you. In some ways, if you think of the decade prior to this, there was enormous expectation that on a range of environmental issues, even in cases where, in a federal system like the U.S. or Canada, there was not going to be new federal legislation or initiative or some new steps, that there was so much concern about a range of common pool issues that individual states had great incentive and growing capacity to address them, and a growing likelihood consistent with some of what you were saying, Jenna, in Lin Ostrom's work, that multiple states could and would come together and form, if not formalized compacts, entities to deal with problems, especially that work at a regional scale. A lot of academic work on this, a lot of very active policy discussion. Think about climate change. If we were meeting seven or eight years ago, there would be 23 states, including this one, and four provinces linked in three regional cap-and-trade zones. Today that has collapsed to ten states and two provinces. Look at renewable energy. In the Ogallala region there was a major initiative called Powering the Plains. It brought together Central Plains states, provinces like Manitoba, asking how can we come together and share resources and promote wind as a collective good and with it deal with any negative externalities that might emerge. You might find a pulse for that organization on the web today, but it's never really emerged into a sustained collective action type entity. And then when you think of shale, which has these interesting multistate components to it and operates in an area where neither federal jurisdiction in the U.S. or Canada is particularly strong or likely to be so, similar questions began to be raised at the very early stages of the shale boom and what would that mean. Could not only individual localities and/or states figure out what the right way was to be good environmental stewards, whether that was water, land use or anything else within their boundaries, but could they join together, particularly in this case that there had been some tradition of oil and gas governance through an interstate compact, the Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission created many decades ago. There was some strong expectation that river basins, the Delaware River Basin, Susquehanna River and the like, might play a strong role in oversight and really bring states together more substantially. They do play a role, but it's largely limited and constrained. And even in the efforts by the U.S. federal government, post-Deepwater Horizon, to reorganize the Interior Department inspection process and create what is now known as BSEE, the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement, to rethink how we would do offshore oil drilling. One of the key missions for that bureau was to think about the relationship between federal and state jurisdiction, and in an area like the Gulf where you have multiple states, including Texas, playing a substantial role, what a strong regional presence, coordinated mechanism might look like. We now realize that that has struggled mightily, not just on the federal part, but stitching the cross-state aspects of the society. And so I think a challenge in this area is that often when we launch a multistate initiative, it's the Great Lakes compacts of the world that are the exception. They are really hard to launch under any circumstances, but I think in many areas they are hard to see as durable examples of policy. Again, the Great Lakes case is so interesting and so different in that regard. You can launch something, you can bring something together, you can have a memorandum of understanding, you might even have a compact, but to sustain that politically over a period of time, particularly or possibly with special challenges in the energy, in part for the reasons that you cite, Jenna, possibly for others, it's really, really hard to maintain and sustain that. Among the challenges, along with the relative lack of visibility of some of these energy sources, are the fact that, at least in the U.S. context, a great many states see energy production and development as an issue of interstate competition rather than collaboration. States, for the most part, are actively exploring how they can maximize drilling and production. We have relatively few states that have put tight constraints or refused to go forward with drilling, and that's not likely to change anytime soon. We've seen a number of shifts and changes in how states regulate. And Dan Ramey's [phonetic] here, who's really looked very closely at these issues in a great many states and what that means for localities, and we see some really mixed outcomes and results. But thinking about getting ways to get, in this case of our unit analysis of states, to play collaboratively over time is really challenging, in part because what they're often arguing is they develop these resources, whether they are nonrenewable resources like oil and gas or renewable ones like wind, is that a primary driver for development is economic development. So in the case of portfolio standards in rural energy development, whether it's the Ogallala states or others, the idea is it's partially related to environmental goals, but it's also homegrown jobs and economic development and making the case to go forward with that alternative. That's really true in all of these Ogallala states, by the way. Whether they have a regulatory mandated portfolio standard or not, they are all big wind production states, but they've had a hard time sort of coordinating, working across borders, really unique problems and challenge in this regard with Texas because of the unique nature of their grid and their limited ability to trade electricity and move that. We've seen real challenges in this area. One area where I've had some interest in asking is it possible to do it a better way and don't expect any aha, takeaway moments on this, but is the fact that almost all of the states that engage in oil and gas development tax it, and we all know the difficulties of imposing a tax on consumption of fossil fuels, the challenging route to where any kind of a carbon price in any jurisdiction in the U.S. is more than nominal, or even raising gas tax prices in a state like Michigan where the potential link to the benefits of improved transportation are substantial. It's one of the hardest things to do politically, regardless of the partisan control of government at that particular time. These energy extraction taxes are different. They are called severance taxes or production taxes. They exist in virtually all states and they tend to have rather high rates in states we tend to think of as averse to taxation. They're politically conservative. States like Texas, states like North Dakota have very high rates and strong bipartisan buy-in on issues that we would not normally expect to see. Of course, there's a reason for that. It's possible to export a lot of the cost because the ultimate costs or transfer of those taxes is paid at the pump and in a great many states, including Texas, most of the oil and gas is being exported for use in another jurisdiction. It's also been traditionally a way, and certainly in states like Texas this goes back to the 19th century, it is a way to often cover general revenues or earmarked funds for a project like education without having to impose more visible and controversial taxes on sales, property or income. So if you go into a legislature in Austin or Bismarck, North Dakota, or some of these other states, to even propose cutting oil extraction taxes is the last thing you want to do politically because these are popular energy taxes. And with that then does come the issue of what you do with all that revenue if we live in a society in a bunch of states that are going to continue to be producing oil and gas into the near term future, or it seems quite likely. Well, one is that there's going to be tremendous volatility and fluctuation in their revenue produced because these are often linked to production and the price of oil or gas, and we're clearly seeing that in many of these jurisdictions. And for the most part, states have not gone the direction of actually thinking about setting aside these funds longer term or investing them in ways that they might try to reduce or address some of the negative externalities that have emerged or are likely to emerge. There are a few emerging possible exemptions to that. In the Ogallala region one that jumps out is Colorado, which has reformed its severance tax through statute eight times in the last 15 years, in each case taking a portion of that money and putting it into water conservation, energy transition, wastewater treatment, or the like. That raises all kinds of issues, too, then of whether you're becoming actually dependent on oil and gas extraction to sustain the activity. We're seeing this in a few other jurisdictions as well. But those are really the exceptions. Those are really the anomalies. Most of the states that are producing this bounty continue to really use it to suppress other kinds of taxes that cover some core services, although with variation and exception. So I do think that this is an area of potential consideration and interest going forward. And even in a state like Michigan, this is a state that has a history with this because my understanding is the first extraction tax passed in North America was in this state and was focused on copper and copper mining. And the first time this tax was applied in the U.S. on trees was the State of Michigan that was doing a lot of clearcutting, and so stumpage fees and that kind of resource extraction has been part of the Michigan [inaudible]. And, of course, we do have oil and gas extraction taxes, although we don't do much production here, probably won't be going forward, but they are small sources and pieces of the puzzle. Interesting in that they are a way to sort of link potentially the impact of drilling through some kind of a cost and pricing mechanism. Here, mindful, and Margaret, I'd be welcoming your thoughts on this, where the whole question of using economic tools and pricing and fees on any kind of water production, preparation, transition is wrought with political and ethical considerations and yet continually comes up into the conversation. Do we put a price on carbon, do we put a price on extraction. What do we even mean when we put a price on water and think about that as something that might leverage better public policy going forward, or do we take that off the table because the politics and ethics of doing that are just too challenging. So those are a few additional thoughts. And I wanted to turn it back to you before I think we open up for questions, see if you wanted to respond to anything that Jenna or I had to say. >> Sure. So putting a price on water. There are a lot of ethics challenges with that just because we need water to live. We don't want to make it unaffordable for the people that need it, and so that's a good base level of we need to provide it. But on top of that we have this excess water that's not just, you know, the supporting life amount of water that we often sell, and we sell it to municipalities and we have to buy it from municipalities to be able to drink it, so that's one example. But ag gets water, energy gets water, power plants, oil and gas, industry gets water and at some point somebody's going to pay for it. So there is a price on water and it changes based on who owns that water. So in Texas, for example, because that's where I've studied, the ownership of water changes how we're going to pay for it. And so we have a surface water system where we've allocated water rights and we have junior water rights holders that just got their water right recently, versus the older water rights holders that have had it for a century or something like that and they have a lot of power over the junior water rights holders. If there's a drought, the senior water right holders are the ones that are going to get their water, the junior water right holders are not, and they might be the ones that go to the senior water right holder and say can I have your excess water, I will pay you a certain amount of money to get it, and so then we set a price for water based on scarcity. And we set another price on water based on just the marginal water user. If we have all of the water rights allocated, which we do in most of our rivers in Texas, then oil and gas comes in and they need water, they're going to pay a marginal price for it and it's going to be significantly higher than what those other water users pay. So another scarcity price. And that's just surface water in Texas. Our groundwater is owned by the landowner and limited where there are groundwater conservation districts in Texas. They're small, regional governing authorities that can set spacing, withdrawal limits, monitoring policies. Like you mentioned, it's a best practice that I would suggest to them, but not all of them do it. But anyway, they can set those policies on water withdrawal and that can limit the amount that the landowners will withdrawal, but not significantly enough that they don't sell it to other operations. And so there's a lot of water sale to oil and gas activities, especially in South and West Texas, where their water scarce for surface water, and so there are prices on water associated with that and they're often lower. If they're huge water contracts and for the smaller amounts that are trucked into areas, they'll have much higher prices. And so we do set a price on water and because we set this price on water, we can influence that market in other ways and so there might be policy mechanisms that we could put into place or just water management situations that we can influence where oil and gas activity, it exists in Texas, it's going to exist in Texas, agricultural activity exists in Texas, it's going to exist in Texas, but it doesn't need to compete for water necessarily. They could work together where oil and gas pays for water conservation efforts that agriculture cannot afford, they just don't make the kind of money that oil and gas does, and a capital investment for that water could be also a management technique for the future, so that they are using that same amount of water now, but in the future there's less water being used. So that's something that they can keep in mind with -- the competition that exists for water now could be more of a collaboration for water in the future. So that's one of the things that we've studied in Texas in particular. And in areas where there's not a policy framework for water rights, for water limitations outside of the groundwater conservation districts in particular, so in areas of the Ogallala and other aquifers in Texas where there's not a limiting authority there, there's not an incentive to conserve. So you have that water price that exists, but it's really just an incentive to sell water. It's not an incentive to reduce so I stay under the cap that exists from the limiting authority and I can sell water and farm, I'm going to farm and sell water and just use more of it in those areas. So that's one of the problems that exists in some of our aquifers in Texas, is we do have groundwater conservation districts, some of them are limiting the amount of water that's withdrawn in that area, some of them aren't doing it as well as they could, and some of them there is just no groundwater conservation district in the first place so they're just not limiting it at all. And we have this patchwork quilt of regulation that's very confusing in some cases and means that we aren't necessarily managing our groundwater in particular as well as we could. So that's one example of pricing and management in Texas that will influence the Ogallala in particular. >> [Inaudible] I have a question kind of drawing on what you just said. So I'm hearing that groundwater conservation districts, which you have done a good job of describing a little bit here, are one mechanism by which there can be limits placed that help conserve that resource, but some of your research has also looked at the activities of -- or the decisions of individual actors, of individual landowners outside of the context of groundwater conservation districts that have, by their own initiative, then placed limits on that. I wonder if you could describe that for the audience, and then talk a little bit about whether that's changed norms in industry, what opportunities might exist for scaling that up, whether there's an opportunity for policy to support those kind of good behaviors of individual actors. And then, Jenna, maybe jump in on that, too, how you're collective management work like informed that. >> Sure. So landowners, by nature, with the rule of capture giving them ownership of the groundwater under their lands, have a lot of power over how that water is used. So if I am an oil and gas company and I come in and I would like to use the mining water rights, so I will probably ask to use the groundwater rights in that contract that I negotiate, and a landowner can say, yes, you can use my groundwater, you will only use my groundwater, you will not go outside of this lease to bring water onto it, and you can't recycle it and you're going to pay me for that water, too. And they can put that in that contract and that means that there's going to be extra extraction of water in that area, and that's not great, from my perspective. It's great for the landowner because they're making money. But they can also, on the other side of the spectrum, say you're going to recycle the water that you use on my property, you're going to use only the brackish water under my lands, and you're still going to pay me for it. And so they could get a competitive price for brackish water that they would get for the fresh water, but they're also saving the fresh water that's under their lands and they're recycling water on the property as well. And so there's an example of that existing in Irion County where if you went in on Google Maps, you can zoom in and you can actually see the treatment facility. It's big circles on the ground there, so it's pretty cool looking, if you like that kind of thing, or disgusting if you don't. It's brown water. Anyway, but it's neat because this landowner used his particular power because he had a huge swath of land in that county where the company did want to access that oil and gas and it wasn't economically infeasible for them to recycle the water, and the brackish water price was competitive to what they were paying for fresh water. And oil and gas companies can use brackish water. There's no reason that they can't. Their frack fluids are able to use salty water. We have innovated in that industry that we can recycle and reuse water that we wouldn't want to drink. So there's not a reason that we need to be competing for fresh water as much as we are. We have the ability to do this. And so the companies have innovated in that direction, but if they don't have to or if the landowner is like the first situation, not letting them do it, then we have a problem there. And so one way that policy can come in is to prohibit the ability to limit the contracts, but it's questionable whether they can do that because groundwater is a private property right in Texas. They would be inhibiting the landowner's right to sell their water, except that they're also inhibiting other landowners' ability to sell their water on that contract, too. So that's something that the legislature needs to investigate more, is whether they're able to influence that contract design to encourage more of the outside water use, the water recycling, things like that. Basically, don't prohibit recycling as an example of that. Do you have any additions? >> Well, maybe I'll just say something as a way of encouraging you to tell us a little bit more. So, you know, water, again, something that's so tricky about it is it flows. As a resource it doesn't stay put and so as one person draws, more will flow in so it creates these negative externalities for other potential users. But one thing that is a possibility in the Ogallala, if it's not possible to get the eight states to form some sort of collaborative compact, as we have with the Great Lakes Compact, which is also, by the way, eight states, there may be subbasins within the Ogallala that are well-defined enough that you might be able to create a smaller scale of community. Up until the moment that Lin Ostrom passed away she was consumed with thinking about the scalability of these common pool resource practices, with monitoring in particular being much easier between users who know one another. As you take it up in level, it's not just the complexity of the interests, which, of course, is true, but there's just the anonymity that for some reason creates these barriers. If we can bring it down to a smaller scale, then there may be ways of creating these more localized successful management practices. I am totally fired up about this idea of separating out fresh water from brackish water, for example. And so it would be interesting to look, for example, in Texas, at the underground landscape, if you will, of the Ogallala and see if there are these pockets that might lend themselves to being imperfect, but better communities of management than we have now. So I don't know to what extent, you know, we see -- it would be interesting to look to see where we have these groundwater management districts arising; do they, to any extent, correspond with these natural subbasins within the Ogallala. >> I don't know the answer to that either. So there are three major -- in the panhandle of Texas, so I don't know if you're familiar with Texas, but I stole your Michigan hand and I have made a Texas hand [laughter], so we have a panhandle sticking out on top, and that basically covering that entire panhandle area, almost the entire panhandle, are three huge groundwater conservation districts that were some of the first created and they were created because agricultural water use is really important in that area, and in the 1950s we had a huge drought in Texas that spanned almost a decade and we were concerned about both surface water and groundwater, and so in particular in that area they wanted to manage it better and they developed these three areas. And then on top of that we've added 95 more much smaller districts, some of those in the southern part of the Ogallala. So I would say the northern part of the Ogallala is more hydrologically aligned to the aquifer; whereas, the southern part in Texas, though it's all southern. >> Right. >> But anyway, the northern part of Texas, the southernmost part of the Ogallala in Texas is more county-sized groundwater conservation districts. They're not really hydrologically aligned. So those would have to work together between the different districts, and they do that already in the groundwater management areas of Texas, but they would have to have more groundwater conservation districts involved. I mentioned groundwater management areas. Groundwater conservation districts do not cover the entire State of Texas and they can set limitations on withdrawal. They don't do it for certain types of wells, like domestic wells or rig supply wells for oil and gas, but for the most part if you've got a large well on the property for some type of farming activity, then you're going to be regulated by your groundwater conservation district, if it exists. But there are places that don't have groundwater conservation districts and they still have to plan for their groundwater supplies and our water planning cycle that occurs every five years in Texas, and so we have groundwater management areas that cover the entire State of Texas so that those areas that don't have a district are still sort of governed, there's still something kind of planning for them. And so that also means that all of the groundwater conservation districts that are small districts in a big area are also required every year to meet together to plan for the future of their aquifer, and so that would be one example of this type of bigger, regional authority that we could use as an example of the community working together. So you have what is the difference between these small groundwater conservation districts where everybody probably knows each other or knows of each other, and they definitely know who's hogging all the water because there's definitely gossip going around about that, but they have those small groundwater conservation districts and then they have the larger groundwater management areas, and how well are those working to get those groundwater conservation districts together to plan for that supply for the future and is that actually affecting the water supply in that area. And I don't know enough about those groundwater management areas and how successful they are at limiting the amount of water that's being withdrawn, but I do know that they are responsible to the planning process now and that means that we're actually using numbers that exist, and not numbers we appreciate and would like to exist, to plan for our water in the future and that will change how they manage it. >> I'd like to follow that and actually build on your question from Lin Ostrom, Jenna, and that is do they know one another. And one question I've had in cases like this across states, say, in the Ogallala -- and given the fact that most of these states have very small governing capacities, they're part-time legislators, in some cases legislators are not allowed to have any financial support to leave the state and go to conferences. They have very thin agencies. There's some of you who heard Riordan Frost from American University present his comparative ranking of the American states, his eco-efficiency index. The states of the Ogallala rank almost exclusively, not Texas, but almost all the others toward the very, very bottom in terms of capacity, performance on a range of environmental issues. So there's a question of how even in the case of these subbasins representatives of different states would begin this kind of a conversation is a challenging one, from my perspective, and I don't know that it's going to change any time soon. And yet it's intriguing to hear what you're saying about the Texas case with these local districts and presumably local water professionals who are engaging in this. And I've instructed some other work that I've done in Texas to find how deep these networks are, and in some cases there are streams of funding to staff local agencies, to build these networks and connections. Can you say more about how these districts are funded and staffed, and in your experience whether this work ever kind of crosses over into neighboring states and jurisdictions and has a kind of cross-state component to it? Again, here I offer that because in my experience working with the National Academy review of the offshore drilling work, we just could not find any sense that states were conversing at all about contingency planning, even after the Deepwater Horizon incident. So I'm really curious your thoughts on how that might come together using Texas an example, and perhaps one of the more likely states in this region to even think about staffing these pieces. >> Sure. So groundwater conservation districts are funded in a lot of different ways, and I wish I had the map that showed the different ways that they're funded, but they might have fees that they assess on water withdrawals, they might have taxes that they assess to the entire area that the groundwater conservation district is in. That means that the landowners and the other people that do not own land in the area are still paying taxes, depending on how it's assessed. If it's on property, then it's still just the landowners. So it really depends on the groundwater conservation districts, and some are severely underfunded and so they are the ones that are probably not monitoring the water that's coming out. The better funded the groundwater conservation district is, the more research they're doing about the water supply in their area, the more work they're trying to do to manage that water. So it really is closely tied to the amount of work that they can do. And so there's a groundwater conservation district outside of Austin that's particularly well-funded and just that shining example of this groundwater conservation district that goes to the legislature and advocates for groundwater management, but they're also right outside of Austin, which is where the legislature is, and they have the Barton Springs, which is kind of a treasure of that area. So it really depends on the districts and finding those examples of the ones that are actually trying to manage their water well and do the research for it and have staff that are able to go to the legislature and advocate for that groundwater conservation district those are the ones to target for this is an example of what to do. As far as collaborating with neighboring states, I'm not aware of any collaboration. I know that we tend to sue other states for their water. So there's a little bit of collaboration between New Mexico and Texas, especially in West Texas where there's not a lot of water to collaborate over, and some of -- so we have an agreement with them to give us water from the Elephant Butte Reservoir, and they do that, except that their groundwater wells in the southern part of New Mexico are inhibiting flow into the Rio Grande and the flow into that reservoir, meaning we're not getting as much water as we were supposed to get, and now that case is in the Supreme Court. So where we do have agreements with those states, that also tends to lead to disagreements with those states because we're not getting enough water from them, especially since we are downstream of everyone elsewhere there is something going on. The same with, it's not groundwater, but the Red River in the northern part of Texas, there was just a Supreme Court case over water that Tarrant Regional Water District wanted to get from Oklahoma, and they were trying to purchase that water. They were buying it. They weren't trying to steal it. But Oklahoma put out a bill and their legislature said, no, we will not sell water to other states. And Texas said, well, we deserve this water because we have this compact, we need a quarter of the water in this whole river basin, and the Supreme Court said, no, if you deserve that water, you wouldn't be paying for it. So we are on the blunt end of some water situations and often tend to use the law to try to get it on our side, but that doesn't always work. So Texas might -- with those situations in mind with New Mexico, with Oklahoma and we also have water debt issues with Mexico as well because we have a border river with them, might inhibit participation of Texas in a compact so it would have to be in their interest to participate, like somehow if there was limitation across the entire aquifer, it would secure water for our future, which is generally the idea of that compact, but there would have to be some type of economic incentive for them to be interested in that and I think that's important for Texas as a player in that system. Probably for the other states as well. >> Before I -- sorry. I have to be at the microphone. Before I open it up, are there any other observations or discussion between you that you want to make sure we get in before we open it up for Q and A? >> I wanted to make one tiny point, just because Margaret mentioned this earlier, but for those of you who aren't -- you know, maybe this is your first exposure to water law. Water law, it doesn't treat water the same. If it's surface water versus groundwater, it doesn't treat it as a system. And so in Texas the same water, because remember it flows, can bubble to the surface and be governed by one set of -- actually, quite well-regulated set of rules, and then dip under the surface and be unregulated entirely. It's the same water. Right. So there is something kind of messed up with the way that the law manages water resources and I think that this makes these compacts, whether they're very local or interstate, even more important. >> I think that's one reason why the New Mexico case is interesting though, is the problem is that there's groundwater wells that they've permitted in the state that are withdrawing just a heck of a lot of water that are affecting the surface water supplies. And New Mexico's case is it's groundwater, it's not surface water; and Texas' case is it's affecting our water supplies. And so Texas has to admit groundwater and surface water are connected even though they don't do that in their own policy. So that's a pretty interesting part of that. >> And here I would only add on this is a complication not just of states and localities, but of federal law and federal policy, as is true in so many areas, but it's acutely so in water. We've had so little new statutory development or revision of existing statutes. Which is if one looks at the relatively simple, straightforward question of assuming authority for permitting to states and the 40-year divide now, where only two states have that authority, one is Michigan and the other New Jersey related to wetlands, independent of the courts, but reflecting a fundamental disagreement between the U.S. EPA and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, both of whom look at different statutes and see different things for exactly the same water bucket. So EPA looks at the Clean Water Act and an almost incomprehensible set of paragraphs in there about their jurisdiction and says, aha, we have the authority, and ACE counters and says, no, if we look at the Rivers and Harbors Act going back to the late 19th century, we see the same thing, and the battles just continue to rage. So this is a perennial issue, but it kind of crosses levels of government, and I'm not sure anyone has particularly cracked this problem and, hence, it devolves to states and localities, and perhaps in a good way with opportunities here, but because of an inability to design an effective policy regime for a long, long time in almost every area of water.