economic recession

The threat of inflation seems to be receding and the possibility of a 'soft landing' is improving, according to a panel of economists at the Ford School.  Former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy Brad DeLong, and Ford...

Ford School economics professor Justin Wolfers has been saying that a recession does not seem likely, given continuing strong employment numbers. The threat of a default, on the other hand, could have been disastrous. Here are some excerpts of his...

Justin Wolfers, Foreign Affairs: "The economy definitely could fall into recession—there is always a risk—but it is worth remembering that it is never a certainty. The only time horizon over which economists have a good record in predicting...

The U.S. economic recovery from the significant setbacks of the pandemic has seen inflationary pressure from supply chain disruptions and the war in Ukraine, among other factors. Justin Wolfers, Ford School professor of public policy and...

Betsey Stevenson, AP News: "Employers continue to be worried that it’s going to be harder to hire tomorrow than today, so that actually suggests they don’t see a recession on the...

Ford School professor Justin Wolfers, an expert economist, recently joined the International Monetary Fund as a panelist to discuss the current economy and how to boost resiliency.  "I just wanted to offer a moment of rhetorical reframing because...

News this week that GDP had contracted for the second quarter in a row, combined with the Fed’s interest rate hike and persistent inflationary pressure, are creating fear that the U.S. economy is headed towards recession. Yet the picture is...

Fears of inflation and recession, the Fed interest rate hike, and the underlying causes, have been at the top of the news for several weeks. Ford School economics professors Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers have been highly sought-after for their...

The U.S. inflation rate continues to be at the highest levels in years, and the Fed has indicated it will raise interest rates to dampen those numbers. But taking action against inflation could hurt employment numbers, just when people are returning...

The inflation rate in April in the U.S. was 8.3%, slightly down from the previous month. As the Fed addresses the issue, there is worry that stringent measures could cause a recession. Speaking to ABC Australia, Ford School professor Justin Wolfers...

 Economist Betsey Stevenson is keeping a close eye on the country's economic recovery, and provides insights in a number of news outlets this week. "Recovery in the labor force requires getting people into jobs and then keeping them there,"...

This weekend, millions of Americans will lose their federal unemployment benefits. Betsey Stevenson, professor of public policy and economics, says that lawmakers need to consider employment effects, like decreases in spending. "People need the...

The news released on April 30 that the U.S. economy had shrunk 4.8 percent in the first quarter of 2020 confirmed that the country is poised to experience a deep recession. The analyses of Ford School economists Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers...

While the economy experiences one of the longest period of sustained growth, many Americans are already concerned about the likelihood of the next recession. For many, the wounds of the Great Recession are only now beginning to heal and the thought...

Media outlets continue to search for red flags signaling the next recession, but for Professor Justin Wolfers there’s more reason for optimism. Wolfers was featured in a CNBC video titled “Justin Wolfers: Biggest risk to strong U.S. economy is Trump...

Recent economic conversations have attempted to forecast the widely-anticipated next recession, but when are these commentators correct, and when are they crying wolf? Politico Money's Ben White sat down with Professor Betsey Stevenson to dissect...