prediction markets

According to most polls, public opinion shifted in marked favor of a Clinton presidency during the first Presidential debate of 2016, which took place on September 26. Justin Wolfers, who watched the debate while observing the real-time reactions of...

In his most recent column for the New York Times’ Upshot, Justin Wolfers explains how and why political prediction markets may provide more unbiased assessments of presidential debate performances this fall than pundits. Wolfers writes about two...